Artificial General Intelligence’s Five Hard National Security Problems
The pace and potential progress of artificial general intelligence (AGI’s) emergence – as well as the composition of a post-AGI future – is shrouded in uncertainty. This poses a challenge for strategists and policymakers trying to discern what potential threats and opportunities might emerge on the path to AGI and once AGI is achieved suggest Jim Mitre and Joel Predd in their article for the
Rand Corporation. They put forth five problems that AGI’s emergence presents for U.S. national security: wonder weapons, systemic shifts in power, nonexperts empowered to develop weapons of mass destruction, artificial entities with agency, and instability. The authors note that proposals to advance progress on one problem can undermine progress on another. They offer these five national security problems to help structure such discourse by providing a common language to communicate about risks and opportunities of AGI and a rubric to evaluate alternative strategies.
https://www.rand.org
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