Inflection Point or Continuing Spiral in the Middle East?

Addressing vulnerability and promoting security
Aug 12, 2025 | Middle East Institute

In his analysis for the Middle East Institute, Paul Salem notes that after almost two years of fighting in Gaza, and the decimation of Hizballah, the fall of Bashar al-Assad’s regime in Syria, and the 12-day Israeli-American war on Iran, the Middle East is in new strategic and political territory. The author discusses two  pathways for the region: one in which the gains and changes brought about by war are turned, through intense diplomacy and negotiation, into new international and political arrangements that bring security and stability in the region; and the other in which that corner the wars in Gaza, Iran, and potentially Yemen, Syria, and Lebanon, continue indefinitely. The trajectory will depend on the choices of key actors - above all Iran, Israel, and the United States. https://www.mei.edu

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