The Case for Gradual Population Decline
In a free society, fertility should not be determined by politicians or economists, but by individuals, particularly by women, Adair Turner suggests in the publication
Gonzalo Raffo Info News. The key question, then, is what people themselves want, not what experts think the optimal fertility rate should be. A recent UN report argues that the “real” fertility crisis lies in the gap between aspirations and reality: 11% of women expect to have fewer children than their “ideal,” while 7% expect to have more. The median “ideal” is two children. Over the past 50 years, the world’s fastest-growing economies - South Korea, China, Taiwan, and Singapore – have recorded the lowest fertility rates, ranging between 0.8 and 1.2 children per woman. The highest fertility rates are found in locations where poverty remains entrenched, or women’s rights are severely restricted, such as Sub-Saharan Africa and Afghanistan.
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